Stats For Suckas: Anderson Silva vs. Chris Weidman

by • July 1, 2013 • News, UFCComments (0)

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Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous bouts which have taken place. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC 162: Anderson Silva vs. Chris Weidman.

Anderson Silva

Stats

Chris Weidman

38 Age 29
Team Nogueira Camp Serra-Longo Fight Team
33-4 Record 9-0
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
77.5″ Reach 78.0″
20 (T)KOs (61%) Win Percentage 3 (T)KO (33.3%)
6 Submissions (18%) 3 Submissions (33.3%)
7 Decisions (21%) 3 Decisions (33.3%)
2 Submissions (50%) Loss Percentage N/A
1 Decision (25%)
1 DQ (25%)
Oct. 13, 2012, over Last (T)KO Victory July 11, 2012, over
Stephan Bonnar Mark Munoz
Aug. 07, 2010,  over Last Submission Victory Nov. 19, 2011, over
Chael Sonnen Tom Lawlor
Apr. 10, 2010, over Last Decision Victory Jan. 28, 2012, over
Demian Maia Demian Maia
N/A Last (T)KO Loss N/A
Dec. 31, 2004, to Last Submission Loss N/A
Ryo Chonnan
May 27, 2000, to Last Decision Loss N/A
Luiz Azeredo
Strikes 3x (50%) Submission Victories Guillotine 1x (33.3%)
Triangle 2x (33.3%) by Method Brabo Choke 1x (33.3%)
RNC 1x (16.7%) Kimura 1x (33.3%)
Heel Hook 1x (50%) Submission Losses N/A
Triangle 1x (50%) by Method
17 Fights Undefeated Streak 9
16 Fights UFC Undefeated Streak 5
2 Decision Victories 2
in the UFC
3.17 Significant Strikes 3.23
Landed Per Minute
67% Striking Accuracy 43%
1.41 Significant Strikes 1.95
Absorbed Per Minute
63% Striking Defense 69%
0.72 Average Takedown 4.47
Attempts per 15 Min.
78% Takedown Accuracy 72%
70% Takedown Defense 100%
Percentage
1.13 Average Submission 1.38
Attempts Per 15 Min.
22.70% Average Submission 50.20%
Completion Rate
70, vs. Jeremy Horn, Most Significant Strikes 58, vs. Demian Maia,
on Jun. 27, 2004 Landed in a Fight on Jan. 28, 2012
5 hrs, 49 min, 41 sec Total Cage Time 1 hr, 4 min, 57 sec

Now, despite the fact that just about every statistic appears to bode in the favor of Anderson Silva, allow me to point to three that I believe will likely give Chris Weidman the edge in their UFC middleweight title bout: Age, Reach, and Submission Losses. Yes, “The Spider” has an insane amount of victories, and a Fedoresque winning streak at the moment, but his last two actual losses (we’ll discount the DQ against Okami for the moment) were by submission. I’ll give you that the Ryo Chonnan flying heel hook was one of those crazy once-in-a-lifetime subs, but it still counts. Weidman, however, has a strong takedown, and a top game dominant enough to threaten Silva. He also has a reach advantage, however small, and can use that to set up his takedowns. Finally, we come to the age statistic, with Weidman entering his athletic prime as Silva begins to exit his. If these three factors are coupled with a good game plan from coaches Matt Serra and Ray Longo, then there’s a good chance that Weidman will be like Garfield to “The Spider.” So, don’t be surprised to see “The All-American” put the smack down and finish Anderson Silva in the 4th round.

Garfield Squashes Spider

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