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Stats for Suckas: Jon Jones vs Alexander Gustafsson

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Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC 165: Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson.

Stats for Suckas: Jon Jones vs Alexander Gustafsson

Statistics

Jon Jones

Alex Gustafsson

Age 26 26
Camp Jackson’s MMA AllStars/Alliance MMA
Record 18-1 15-1
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Reach 84.5″ 81.0″
Win Percentage 9 (T)KO (50%)
6 Submissions (33%)
3 Decisions (17%)
9 (T)KO (60%)
3 Submissions (20%)
3 Decisions (20%)
Loss Percentage 1 Disqualification (100%) 1 Submission (100%)
Last (T)KO Victory Apr. 27th, 2013, over Chael Sonnen Dec. 30th, 2012, over Vladimir Matyushenko
Last Submission Victory Sep. 22, 2012, over Vitor Belfort Feb. 27th, 2011, over James Te Huna
Last Decision Victory Apr. 21st, 2012, over Rashad Evans Dec. 08th, 2012, over Mauricio Rua
Last (T)KO Loss N/A N/A
Last Submission Loss N/A Apr. 10th, 2010, to Phil Davis
Last Decision Loss N/A N/A
Submission Victories by Method Guillotine x4 (66.7%) RNC x1 (16.7%) Keylock x1 (16.7%) RNC x3 (100%)
Submission Losses by method N/A Keylock x1 (100%)
Oldest Opponent Vladimir Matyushenko Vladimir Matyushenko
Fights in Canada 2 0
Decision Victories in the UFC 3 2
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 3.94 3.98
Striking Accuracy 53% 36%
Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute 1.44 2.29
Striking Defense 67% 56%
Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. 2.78 2.56
Takedown Accuracy 62% 50%
Takedown Defense Percentage 100% 84%
Average Submission Attempts per 15 Min. 0.86 1.28
Average Submission Completion Rate 60.20% 35.90%
Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight 105, vs. Rashad Evans, on Apr. 21st, 2012 76, vs. Thiago Silva, on Apr. 14th, 2012
Total Cage Time 2 hrs, 53 min., 55 sec. 1 hr, 38 Min., 2 sec.

As much as people like to talk about Alexander Gustafsson’s footwork, the statistics show that he’s still fairly hittable. While he’s yet to be knocked out, it’s still something that gives Jon Jones an advantage, as he has used barrages of strikes to set up submissions in the past. Additionally, Gustafsson, like many Scandinavian fighters, is not what you could call a “strong” wrestler, whereas Jones – in MMA terms – is. I don’t see “The Mauler” getting finished, but I do see Jones grinding him down for a unanimous decision victory.

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Justin Pierrot is MMASucka.com's resident musicologist and TUF aficionado. When not looking after his family or writing his weekly pieces, he's making music as Stormland or building Gundam models.

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