Stats for Suckas: Lyoto Machida vs. Chris Weidman

Lyoto Machida steps in Vitor Belfort, faces Chris Weidman next at UFC 173.
Lyoto Machida steps in Vitor Belfort, faces Chris Weidman next at UFC 173.

Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC 175: Lyoto Machida vs. Chris Weidman for the UFC Middleweight Title.


Lyoto Machida

Chris Weidman

Age 36 30
Camp Black House/Team Machida Serra-Longo Fight Team
Record 21-4 11-0
Stance Southpaw Orthodox
Reach 74.0″ 78.0″
Win Percentage 8 (T)KO (38%)
2 Submission (10%)
11 Decisions (52%)
5 (T)KO (45%)
3 Submissions (27.5%)
3 Decisions (27.5%)
Loss Percentage 1 (T)KO (25%)
1 Submission (25%)
2 Decisions (50%)
Last (T)KO Victory Oct. 26th, 2013, over Mark Munoz Dec, 31st, 2013, over Anderson Silva
Last Submission Victory Dec. 29th, 2007, over Rameau Thierry Sokodjou Nov. 19th, 2011, over Tom Lawlor
Last Decision Victory Feb. 15th, 2014, over Gegard Mousasi Jan. 28th, 2012, over Demian Maia
Last (T)KO Loss May 8th, 2010, to Mauricio Rua N/A
Last Submission Loss Dec. 10th, 2011, to Jon Jones N/A
Last Decision Loss Aug. 3rd, 2013, to Phil Davis N/A
Submission Victories by Method Arm Triangle 1x (50%)
Forearm Choke 1x (50%)
Brabo Choke 1x (33%)
Kimura 1x (33%)
Guillotine 1x (33%)
Submission Losses by method Guillotine x1 (100%) N/A
Most Takedowns Allowed in a Fight 2 0
Most Guard Passes in a Fight 13 5
Decision Victories in the UFC 7 2
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.64 3.15
Striking Accuracy 54% 42%
Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute 1.39 1.9
Striking Defense 63% 64%
Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. 1.54 4
Takedown Accuracy 65% 68%
Takedown Defense Percentage 80% 100%
Average Submission per 15 Min. 0.5 1.9
Average Submission Completion Rate 20.45% 30.16%
Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight 70, against Kazuhiro Nakamura, Sep. 22nd, 2007 58, against Demian Maia, on Jan. 28th, 2012
Total Fight Time 4 hrs, 53 min, 22 sec 1 hr, 18 min, 31 sec

A lot of the attention surrounding Chris Weidman’s upcoming UFC Middleweight Title defense against Lyoto Machida is focused on how the champ will deal with “The Dragon’s” elusive counter-striking style. One need only look at how the New Jersey native fought Anderson Silva to figure out that he is not one to be drawn into an opponent’s game. The more important question is, “How will Machida deal with the superlative wrestling of Weidman?” It’s really the most necessary question, if only because the last decision defeat the karate-ka suffered was against Phil Davis – who took him down 5 times. So, look for Weidman to hit those takedowns strong, and use his top control to pound Machida out sometime in the championship rounds. Expect Weidman via TKO.



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