Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night 27: Carlos Condit vs. Martin Kampman.

Stats for Suckas: Condit vs Kampman II

Carlos Condit	Stats	Martin Kampman
29	Age	31
Jackson’s MMA	Camp	Xtreme Couture
28-7	Record	20-6
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
76″	Reach	72″
13 (T)KO (46%)	Win Percentage	8 (T)KO (40%)
13 Submissions (46%)		7 Submissions (35%)
2 Decisions (8%)		4 Decisions (20%)
		1 Other (5%)
3 Submissions (43%)	Loss Percentage	4 (T)KO (67%)
4 Decisions (57%)		2 Decisions (33%)
July 2nd, 2011, over	Last (T)KO Victory	June 1st, 2012, over
Dong Hyun Kim		Jake Ellenberger
Feb. 13th, 2008, over	Last Submission Victory	Mar. 3rd, 2012, over
Carlos Prater		Thiago Alves
Feb. 4th, 2012, over	Last Decision Victory	Nov. 19th, 2011, over
Nick Diaz		Rick Story
N/A	Last (T)KO Loss	Nov. 17th, 2012, to
		Johnny Hendricks
June 3rd, 2006, to	Last Submission Loss	N/A
Pat Healy
Mar. 16th, 2013, to	Last Decision Loss	Mar. 3rd, 2011, to
Johnny Hendricks		Diego Sanchez
RNC 5x (38.5%)	Submission Victories	Guillotine 3x (42.9%)
Armbar 4x (30.8%)	by Method	RNC 2x (28.7%)
Triangle 2x (15.4%)		Arm Triangle 1x (14.3%)
Kimura x1 (7.7%)		Punches 1x (14.3%)
Guillotine x1 (7.7%)
RNC x1 (33.3%)	Submission Losses	N/A
Heel Hook x1 (33.3%)	by Method
Triangle x1 (33.3%)
1 hr, 42 min, 18 sec	Cage time since	1 hr, 28 min, 12 sec
	first match-up
3	Final Round Finishes	1
2	Decision Victories	4
	in the UFC
2.96	Significant Strikes	3.27
	Landed Per Minute
40%	Striking Accuracy	43%
2.24	Significant Strikes	2.88
	Absorbed Per Minute
58%	Striking Defense	63%
0.62	Average Takedown	1.39
	Attempts per 15 Min.
58%	Takedown Accuracy	42%
37%	Takedown Defense	78%
	Percentage
1.32	Average Submission	2.25
	Attempts Per 15 Min.
62.40%	Average Submission	26.80%
	Completion Rate
151, vs. Nick Diaz on	Most Significant Strikes	101, vs. Thales Leites on
Feb. 4th, 2012	Landed in a Fight	Nov. 11th, 2006
3 hr, 56 min, 47 sec	Total Fight Time	2 hr, 54 min, 8 sec

The last time these two fought, Kampman was able to eke out a split decision victory. However, I don’t see that happening this time. While the statistics show the Dane to actually be an even more aggressive fighter than his New Mexico-based counterpart, I don’t foresee him being able to hold the pace he would need to beat Condit over 5 rounds. This fight still goes to a decision, but I predict “The Natural Born Killer” takes the W home with him this time.