MMASucka Staff Picks: UFC Vegas 105 Betting Predictions

UFC Vegas 105 takes place this weekend, bringing with it a monumental battle between two featherweight standouts in the hard-punching Josh Emmett and the undefeated Lerone Murphy. Before that, however, Pat Sabatini looks to continue his ascent up the 145-lb ladder with a splendid performance against the equally talented Joanderson Brito.  

Main Event

Bouncing back into the winner’s circle after dropping two fights in a row with a one punch knockout over Bryce Mitchell, Emmett would take an extended leave of absence from the sport due to injuries, not competing at all in 2024. Now possessing a clean bill of health, the one-time UFC title challenger will seek to hand his English adversary his first professional loss.

Riding a eight-bout unbeaten streak in the promotion, Murphy has quietly cemented himself amongst the top featherweight contenders on the planet since joining the UFC back in 2019. Should he manage to do away with the incredibly durable and strong Emmett in considerable fashion, the doorway to a possible title shot for “The Miracle” may not be too far ahead.   

Co-Main Event

Even before stepping into the Octagon, Sabatini was already a major prospect in the making with notable wins against future UFC names like Tony Gravely and Da’Mon Blackshear. Ending last year with a splendid first round submission over Jonathan Pearce, the Daniel Gracie black belt has his eyes set on going even further in the division in 2025.

Training out of Chute Boxe João Emilio in Sao Paulo, Brito has also garnered much success over the current 145-lb elite, including a well-aged triumph against upcoming pay-per-view headliner Diego Lopes. Although he lost his last UFC appearance by split decision to William Gomis, “Tubarão” can easily make another run towards the top 15 with a high-light reel finish come Saturday.   

More Bouts On the Main Card

Rounding out the main card, Cortavious Romious battles Lee Chang-ho. The unblemished Uran Satybaldiev meets Martin Buday. Then, middleweight luminaries Brad Tavares and Gerald Meerschaert duke it out in a match between divisional legends. Finally, three-time Dana White Contender Series winner Torrez Finney gets his long-awaited UFC debut in a potentially violent encounter with Ultimate Fighter alum Robert Valentin.  

UFC Vegas 105 Predictions and Staff Picks

MMASucka staff picks are composed of four of the world’s leading mixed martial arts organizations: the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), the Professional Fighters League (PFL), ONE Championship (ONE FC), and Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS).

  • UFC picks will include main card fights ranging from four to six matchups per event.
  • PFL picks from main cards for pay-per-views and from tournament fights in the Regular Season, Playoffs, and Finals.
  • ONE FC and DWCS picks will feature all MMA fights from the event with a minimum of three matchups.

The individual who picks the most victorious fighters by the end of 2025 will have a choice between receiving a custom-made championship belt from ProAmBelts or a detailed chain from Championship Chains. Staff picks in 2023 were won by Ben Jamieson with a record of 300-148.

Find our UFC Vegas 105 picks and fight odds below. 

Staff records after PFL 1: 

  1. Jeremy Brand: 13-48
  2. Frazer Krohn: 14-38
  3. Andrew Benjamin: 8-37
  4. Hank Strandberg: 18-49
  5. Drew Zuhosky: 12-55

*Note – not all staff pick for every event*


 

Torrez Finney -305

     Vs.

Robert Valentin +245

   MIDDLEWEIGHT

Jeremy Brand: Finney by Unanimous Decision
Hank Strandberg: Finney by Unanimous Decision                                                 
Drew Zuhosky: Finney by Unanimous Decision
Andrew Benjamin: Finney by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Valentin by Unanimous Decision                                                                  

Staff picking Finney: 4

Staff picking Valentin: 1


Luis Gurule -265

Vs.

Ode’ Osbourne +215

         FLYWEIGHT

Jeremy Brand: Gurule by Unanimous Decision
Hank Strandberg: Gurule by first round submission                                                
Drew Zuhosky: Gurule by first round Technical Knockout
Frazer Krohn: Osbourne by second round submission      

 

Staff picking Gurule: 3

Staff picking Osbourne: 1


 Brad Tavares -218

Vs.

 Gerald Meerschaert +180

   MIDDLEWEIGHT

Jeremy Brand: Meerschaert by second round Submission
Hank Strandberg: Tavares by Unanimous Decision                                                         
Drew Zuhosky: Tavares by first round Technical Knockout 
Andrew Benjamin: Tavares by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Tavares by second round Technical Knockout                                                    

Staff picking Tavares: 4

Staff picking Meerschaert: 1


    Lee Chang-ho -125

Vs.

Cortavious Romious +105

       BANTAMWEIGHT

Jeremy Brand: Chang-ho by Unanimous Decision
Hank Strandberg: Chang-ho by Unanimous Decision 
Drew Zuhosky: Romious by Unanimous Decision 
Andrew Benjamin: Chang-ho by Unanimous Decision                                                     
Frazer Kron: Romious by Unanimous Decision 

Staff picking Chang-ho: 3

Staff picking Romious: 2


Joanderson Brito -230

Vs.

 Pat Sabatini +190

   FEATHERWEIGHT

Jeremy Brand: Brito by Unanimous Decision
Hank Strandberg: Brito by first round Knockout                                                       
Drew Zuhosky: Sabatini by Unanimous Decision  
Frazer Krohn: Brito by Unanimous Decision  
Andrew Benjamin: Sabatini by Unanimous Decision

Staff picking Brito: 3

Staff picking Sabatini: 2


   Lerone Murphy -310

Vs.

    Josh Emmett +250

     FEATHERWEIGHT

Jeremy Brand: Emmett by first round Knockout
Hank Strandberg: Murphy by Unanimous Decision                                                 
Drew Zuhosky: Emmett by Unanimous Decision                                                  
Frazer Krohn: Murphy by Unanimous Decision  
Andrew Benjamin: Emmett by third round Knockout 

Staff picking Murphy: 2

Staff picking Emmett: 3

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