Stats for Suckas

Stats For Suckas: Jake Shields vs Demian Maia

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UFC_Fight_Night_29
Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night 29: Jake Shields vs. Demian Maia.

Stats For Suckas: Jake Shields vs Demian Maia


Jake Shields

Stats


Demian Maia

34 Age 35
Cesar Gracie Fight Team Camp Wand Fight Team
28-6-1-1 Record 18-4
 Orthodox Stance  Southpaw
 72.0″ Reach  72.0″
3 (T)KO (11%)
10 Submissions (36%)
15 Decisions (54%)
Win Percentage 3 (T)KO (17%)
9 Submissions (50%)
6 Decisions (33%)
2 (T)KO (33%)
4 Decisions (67%)
Loss Percentage 1 (T)KO (25%)
3 Decisions (75%)
Sept. 15th, 2007, over Renato Verissimo Last (T)KO Victory July 7th, 2012, over Dong Hyun Kim
June 6th, 2009, over Robbie Lawler Last Submission Victory Oct. 13th, 2012, over Rick Story
June 15th, 2013, over Tyron Woodley Last Decision Victory Feb. 2nd, 2013 over Jon Fitch
Sept. 17th, 2011, to Jake Ellenberger Last (T)KO Loss Aug. 29th, 2009, to Nate Marquardt
N/A Last Submission Loss N/A
Apr. 30th, 2011, to Georges St. Pierre Last Decision Loss Jan.28th, 2012, to Chris Weidman
RNC 6x (60%)
Guillotine 3x (30%)
Armbar 1x (10%)
Submission Victories by Method RNC 4x (44%)
Triangle 2x (22%)
Armbar 1x (11%)
Guillotine 1x (11%)
Neck Crank 1x (11%)
N/A Submission Losses by Method N/A
1586 Days since last Submission win 352
N/A Last fight in Brazil Oct. 13th, 2012
3 Decision Victories in the UFC 5
2.74 Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 1.82
38% Striking Accuracy 42%
1.91 Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute 1.75
56% Striking Defense 61%
3.31 Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. 3.35
33% Takedown Accuracy 33%
38% Takedown Defense Percentage 53%
1.32 Average Submission Attempts Per 15 Min. 1.58
28.80% Average Submission Completion Rate 46.80%
91, vs. Yoshihiro Akayama, Feb. 25th, 2012 Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight 51, vs. Chris Weidman, Jan. 28th, 2012
6 hrs, 35 min, 7 sec Total Cage Time 3 hrs, 2 min, 28 sec

While some of my counterparts in the MMA media are not excited for this fight, I am. I love a good grappling battle, and with this clash of Brazilian and American Jiu Jitsu is making me a happy camper. However, I can’t help but feel that it’s going to be the resurgent Demian Maia taking the win here, with his slightly better takedown defense, striking accuracy, and superior submission completion rate. I don’t consider total cage time as a factor here, due to Shields’ grinding, top control heavy style. The bulk of this fight is going to take place on the ground, and I think that Maia’s trickier takedowns (even Chael Sonnen sings his praises) will allow him to get the fight to the ground while staying on top, and allow him to either grind out a decision or catch a late submission.

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Justin Pierrot is MMASucka.com's resident musicologist and TUF aficionado. When not looking after his family or writing his weekly pieces, he's making music as Stormland or building Gundam models.

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