Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC 160: Cain Velasquez vs. Antonio Silva for the UFC Heavyweight Championship
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Cain Velasquez:
- Age: 30
- Camp: American Kickboxing Academy
- Record: 11-1
- Stance: Orthodox
- Reach: 77”
- Win Percentages: 9 (T)KOs (82%), 0 Submissions (0%), 2 Unanimous Decisions (18%)
- Loss Percentages: 1 (T)KO (100%)
- Last (T)KO Victory: May 26, 2012 over Antonio Silva
- Last Submission Victory: N/A
- Last Decision Victory: Dec 29, 2012 over Junior Dos Santos
- Last (T)KO Loss: Nov 12, 2011 to Junior Dos Santos
- Last Submission Loss: N/A
- Last Decision Loss: N/A
- Submissions Victories by Method: N/A
- Rematches Fought: 1
- Rematches Won: 1 (100%)
- Decision Victories In the UFC: 2
- Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute: 6.21
- Striking Accuracy: 58%
- Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute: 1.58
- Significant Strikes Defended Percentage: 61%
- Average Takedown Attempts Per 15 Minutes: 6.61
- Takedown Accuracy: 52%
- Takedown Defense Percentage: 88%
- Average Submission Attempts Per 15 Minutes: 0.4
- Average Submission Completion Rate: 0%
- Most Significant Strikes Landed In a Fight: 111/224 (Vs. Junior Dos Santos, Dec 29, 201)
- Total Cage Time: 62:54
Antonio Silva
- Age: 33
- Camp: American Top Team
- Stance: Orthodox
- Reach: 82”
- Record: 18-4
- Win Percentages: 13 (T)KOs (72%), 3 Submissions (17%),2 Unanimous Decisions (11%)
- Loss Percentages: 3 (T)KOs (75%), 0 Submissions (0%),1 Unanimous Decisions (25%)
- Last (T)KO Victory: Feb 2, 2013 over Alistair Overeem
- Last Submission Victory: Sep 23, 2009 over Jim Yorke
- Last Decision Victory: May 15, 2010 over Andrei Arlovski
- Last (T)KO Loss: May 26, 2012 to Cain Velasquez
- Last Submission Loss: N/A
- Last Decision Loss: Nov 07, 2009 to Fabricio Werdum
- Submission Victories by Method: Rear Naked Choke 1x (33.33%), Arm Triangle Choke 1x (33.33%), Punches 1x (33.33%)
- Submission Losses by Method: N/A
- Rematches Fought: 0
- Rematches Won: N/A
- UFC Decision Victories: 0
- Significant Strikes Per Minute: 1.41
- Striking Accuracy: 43%
- Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute: 2.76
- Significant Strikes Defended Percentage: 56%
- Average Takedown Attempts Per 15 Minutes: 1.24
- Takedown Accuracy: 40%
- Takedown Defense Percentage: 63%
- Average Submission Attempts Per 15 Minutes: 1.24
- Average Submission Completion Rate: 19.76%
- Most Significant Strikes Landed/Attempted In a Fight: 47/116 (Vs. Andrei Arlovski, May 15, 2010)
- Total Cage Time: 122:24
I don’t foresee this fight going too much differently than it did the first time, and the statistics just reinforce this for me. So, I predict Cain Velasquez will retain his title by TKO in the 2nd round.
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