Stats for Suckas: James Te Huna vs. Nate Marquardt

Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night 43: James Te Huna vs. Nate Marquardt.


Statistics

James Te Huna

Nate Marquardt

Age 32 35
Camp Pirtek Athletic All Stars High Altitude Martial Arts
Record 16-7 32-13-2
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Reach 75.0″ 74.0″
Win Percentage 10 (T)KOs (63%)
3 Submissions (19%)
3 Decisions (19%)
9 (T)KOs (28%)
15 Submissions (47%)
8 Decisions (25%)
Loss Percentage 1 (T)KO (14%)
5 Submissions (71%)
1 DQ (14%)
3 (T)KOs (23%)
2 Submissions (15%)
8 Decisions (62%)
Last (T)KO Victory Mar. 3rd, 2010, over Aaron Rosa July 4th, 2012, over Tyron Woodley
Last Submission Victory Nov. 20th, 2004, over Kym Robinson Feb. 2nd, 2008, over Jeremy Horn
Last Decision Victory Feb. 16th, 2013, over Ryan Jimmo Mar. 19th, 2011, over Dan Miller
Last (T)KO Loss Dec. 7th, 2013, to Mauricio Rua Oct. 19th, 2013, to Hector Lombard
Last Submission Loss May 25th, 2013, to Glover Teixiera Nov. 30th, 2003, to Ricardo Almeida
Last Decision Loss N/A Jan. 12th, 2013, to Tarec Saffiedine
Submission Victories by Method RNC 2x (67%)
Unknown 1x (33%)
RNC 6x (46%)
Armbar 3x (23%)
Triangle 2x (15%)
Arm Triangle 1x (8%)
Heel Hook 1x (8%)
Punches 1x (8%)
Submission Losses by method RNC 2x (40%)
Guillotine 1x (20%)
Armbar 1x (20%)
Injury 1x (20%)
Guillotine 1x(50%)
Armbar 1x (50%)
Longest Winning Streak 6 Fights 6 Fights
Longest Losing Streak 2 Fights 3 Fights
Decision Victories in the UFC 2 4
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 4.31 2.82
Striking Accuracy 51% 48%
Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute 2.88 1.98
Striking Defense 64% 57%
Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. 3.03 2.32
Takedown Accuracy 39% 59%
Takedown Defense Percentage 66% 72%
Average Submission per 15 Min. 0.3 1.2
Average Submission Completion Rate 73.12% 38.52%
Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight 122, against Joey Beltran, on July 11th, 2012 68, against Tarec Saffiedine, on Jan. 12th, 2013
Total Fight Time 2 hrs, 16 min, 46 sec 7 hrs, 34 min, 19 sec

James Te Huna has an inch of reach on Nate Marquardt, in addition to less than a 1/3 of the total fight time. Marquardt has been in the game a long time, but things like 20 minutes draws in Pancrase haven’t done him any favors. In fact, with 2 of his last 3 losses coming by way of stoppage, I think the powerful Te Huna – who is dropping to middleweight from light heavyweight – will likely put him out again. Expect an early stoppage win for Te Huna.

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