Tuesday nights at the UFC Apex are where DWCS Week 3 betting picks get weird fast. We’ve got favorites priced like mortgage payments, underdogs with actual pulses, and Dana White sitting cage-side ready to hand out life-changing contracts like Halloween candy.
Today, let’s take a fantasy bankroll of $10,000 and try not to light it on fire chasing parlays or betting my kid’s college fund on –1800 chalk. This week’s card has all the classic Apex ingredients—polished prospects, live dogs, and at least one fight that’ll make you question everything you know about MMA math.
Here’s how I’d slice up the action for another wild Tuesday night at the Apex.
DWCS Week 3 Betting Picks: Ryan Gandra vs. Trent Miller
Ryan Gandra (–450) vs. Trent Miller (+290)
Fantasy Stake: $2,200 on Gandra ML
Gandra brings that middleweight polish Dana loves—steady pressure, slick clinch work, and the kind of measured striking that doesn’t make you hold your breath. Miller’s tough as leather boots, but he looks like he’s fighting uphill against a better athlete. At –450, you’re not getting rich, but Gandra’s skillset feels safer than a government bond.
Pick: Gandra ML (reliable anchor)
DWCS Week 3 Betting Picks: Marcio Barbosa vs. Damon Wilson
Marcio Barbosa (–400) vs. Damon Wilson (+270)
Fantasy Stake: $1,800 on Wilson ML
Wilson is pure DWCS Week 3 betting picks chaos—nine wins, most by violence, and zero interest in playing it safe. Barbosa’s the smoother operator, but Tuesday nights at the Apex belong to the dogs who throw caution out the window. At +270, Wilson’s the kind of swing that either makes your night or teaches you humility.
Pick: Wilson ML (chaos special)
DWCS Week 3 Betting Picks: Abdul-Rahkman Yakhyaev vs. Alik Lorenz
Abdul-Rahkman Yakhyaev (–1800) vs. Alik Lorenz (+750)
Fantasy Stake: $1,000 on Yakhyaev ML
Here’s your chalkiest chalk—at –1800, you’d need to risk rent money to win a burrito. Yakhyaev’s undefeated at 6–0 and looks like he stepped out of a Fight Pass highlight reel, while Lorenz seems about as ready for this stage as a house cat in a dog park. I’m keeping the stake light because even sure things can go sideways when Dana’s watching.
Pick: Yakhyaev ML (reluctant chalk)
DWCS Week 3 Betting Picks: Manoel Sousa vs. Cristian Perez
Manoel Sousa (–340) vs. Cristian Perez (+240)
Fantasy Stake: $1,500 on Perez ML
This screams upset special. Perez brings that relentless wrestling pressure and a gas tank that runs deeper than a Texas oil well. Sousa’s dangerous early—flash knockouts are his calling card—but if Perez survives the opening storm, his cardio and control could steal the show. At +240, this kind of stuff is gold.
Pick: Perez ML (live upset)
DWCS Week 3 Betting Picks: Donte Johnson vs. Darion Abbey
Donte Johnson (–380) vs. Darion Abbey (+260)
Fantasy Stake: $3,500 on Johnson ML
Johnson is the crown jewel of this card—undefeated heavyweight with hands that hit like sledgehammers and a look that screams “fast-track to the big show.” Abbey’s durable, but at heavyweight, durable and hittable is a bad combination. This gets my biggest stake because some bets are less betting and more banking.
Pick: Johnson ML (biggest anchor)
Fantasy $10,000 Breakdown
| Fight | Pick | Odds | Stake | Why |
| Gandra vs. Miller | Gandra ML | –450 | $2,200 | Steady skill edge |
| Barbosa vs. Wilson | Wilson ML | +270 | $1,800 | Apex chaos factor |
| Yakhyaev vs. Lorenz | Yakhyaev ML | –1800 | $1,000 | Reluctant chalk |
| Sousa vs. Perez | Perez ML | +240 | $1,500 | Wrestling upset |
| Johnson vs. Abbey | Johnson ML | –380 | $3,500 | Heavyweight hammer |
Final Thoughts on DWCS Week 3 Betting Picks
The secret to surviving DWCS Week 3 betting picks is simple: respect the Apex weirdness without letting it paralyze you. Johnson and Gandra give you that solid foundation, Yakhyaev protects against complete disaster, and Wilson plus Perez offer the kind of live dog swings that make Tuesday nights worth staying up for.
Check for the latest odds movement, because lines shift faster than a Johnny Walker knockout when smart money starts flowing.
By splitting the fantasy 10K this way, you’re not just covering your bases—you’re playing the right way: one eye on bankroll management, the other on contract-worthy chaos.
How would you play this fantasy 10K slip? Drop your DWCS Week 3 betting picks in the comments and let’s see who’s got the sharper read on Apex madness.
