MMASucka Staff Picks UFC Rio: Can This Lightweight Legend Make An Exciting Comeback?

Back for their 13th visit to Rio de Janeiro, the UFC offers the city its first Fight Night card in over a decade. Taking top billing for the occasion, former lightweight champion Charles Oliveira confronts short notice opponent Mateusz Gamrot. In the co-main event, previous flyweight juggernaut Deiveson Figueiredo battles Montel Jackson.

UFC Rio Main Event

Coming off a devastating first round knockout defeat to Ilia Topuria at UFC 317, Oliveira looks to jump back into the win column with a victory in his home country of Brazil this weekend. Having once reigned atop the lightweight division with one title defense, “Do Bronxs” enters the Octagon as a massive fan-favorite of the native crowd. 

Last seen in action at UFC on ESPN 68 this past May, Gamrot logged a splendid victory over Slovak competitor Ľudovít Klein, who had been enjoying a seven-fight unbeaten streak. Taking on the biggest opportunity of his UFC tenure, “Gamer” could put himself on the cusp of his first title shot with a monumental win over the legendary Brazilian.  

UFC 320 Co-Main Event

In the midst of a two-bout losing skid, two-time 125-lb gold standard Figueiredo is seeking to reestablish a foothold in the immensely-stacked bantamweight class after winning his first three contests in the category. Despite recent setbacks, “Deus Da Guerra” still remains a prominent threat to anyone in the division due to his wealth of experience as a former promotional champion. 

October 10, 2025, Rio De Janeiro, Rj, Brazil: Deiveson Figueiredo poses on the scale during the UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot: Ceremonial Weigh-In at Farmasi Arena on October 10, 2025 in Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. /PxImages Rio De Janeiro Brazil – ZUMAp175 20251010_zsa_p175_061 Copyright: xLeandroxBernardesx

Winner of six straight tilts, Jackson is coming off of a phenomenal triumph over the once undefeated Daniel Marcos back in Iowa at UFC on ESPN 67. Crossing paths with the toughest test of his professional career, “Quik” can catapult himself into top contender status should he manage to topple the once flyweight royalty.   

More Bouts On the UFC Rio Main Card

Rounding out the UFC Rio main card, welterweight standout Vicente Luque takes on Joel Álvarez, who will be making his debut at 170-lb for the first time. Then, Jhonata Diniz and Mário Pinto collide in a fun heavyweight showdown. Also, Ricardo Ramos locks horns with Ultimate Fighter alum Kaan Ofli. Finally, featherweight prospects Lucas Almeida and Michael Aswell kick off the show.

October 10, 2025, Rio De Janeiro, Rj, Brazil: Vicente Luque and Joel oÂlvarez face off during the UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs Gamrot: Ceremonial Weigh-In at Farmasi Arena on October 10, 2025 in Rio de Janeiro, RJ, Brazil. /PxImages Rio De Janeiro Brazil – ZUMAp175 20251010_zsa_p175_116 Copyright: xLeandroxBernardesx

UFC Rio Predictions and Staff Picks

MMASucka staff picks are composed of four of the world’s leading mixed martial arts organizations: the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), the Professional Fighters League (PFL), ONE Championship (ONE FC), and Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS).

  • UFC picks will include main card fights ranging from four to six matchups per event.
  • PFL picks from main cards for pay-per-views and from tournament fights in the Regular Season, Playoffs, and Finals.
  • ONE FC and DWCS picks will feature all MMA fights from the event with a minimum of three matchups.

The individual who picks the most victorious fighters by the end of 2025 will have a choice between receiving a custom-made championship belt from ProAmBelts or a detailed chain from Championship Chains. Staff picks in 2023 were won by Ben Jamieson with a record of 300-148.

Find our UFC Rio picks and fight odds below. 

Staff records after DWCS 85: 

  1. Hank Strandberg: 167-94
  2. Drew Zuhosky: 128-133
  3. Frazer Krohn: 124-80
  4. Jeremy Brand: 123-88
  5. Andrew Benjamin: 32-90

*Note – not all staff pick for every event*

 


Michael Aswell -152

     Vs.

Lucas Almeida +132

    FEATHERWEIGHT

 

Hank Strandberg: Aswell by Second Round Knockout  
Drew Zuhosky: Aswell by Unanimous Decision 
Frazer Krohn: Aswell by Second Round Knockout   
 

 

Staff picking Aswell: 3

Staff picking Almeida: 0


Ricardo Ramos -200

Vs.

Kaan Ofli +170

                FEATHERWEIGHT

 

Hank Strandberg: Ramos by Unanimous Decision                                                 
Drew Zuhosky: Ramos by Unanimous Decision      
Frazer Kron: Ramos by Unanimous Decision 

 

Staff picking Ramos: 3

Staff picking Ofli: 0


Jhonata Diniz -142

Vs.

Mario Pinto +122

   HEAVYWEIGHT 

 

Hank Strandberg: Diniz by Second Round Knockout                                                          
Drew Zuhosky: Pinto by First Round Submission   
Frazer Kron: Diniz by First Round Knockout                                                    

 

Staff picking Diniz: 2

Staff picking Pinto: 1


Joel Álvarez -600

     Vs.

Vicente Luque +450

    WELTERWEIGHT

 

Hank Strandberg: Álvarez by First Round Knockout    
Drew Zuhosky: Luque by Unanimous Decision  
Frazer Krohn: Álvarez by Second Round Submission  

 

Staff picking Álvarez: 2

Staff picking Luque: 1

           


Montel Jackson -325

     Vs.

Deiveson Figueiredo +275

         BANTAMWEIGHT

 

Hank Strandberg: Figueiredo by Unanimous Decision 
Drew Zuhosky: Figueiredo by Unanimous Decision   
Frazer Krohn: Figueiredo by Unanimous Decision   

 

Staff picking Jackson: 0

Staff picking Figueiredo: 3


Charles Oliveira -105

Vs.

Mateusz Gamrot +115

             LIGHTWEIGHT

 

Jeremy Brand: 
Hank Strandberg: Gamrot by Unanimous Decision  
Drew Zuhosky: Gamrot by First Round Submission                                                     
Frazer Kron: Gamrot by Unanimous Decision 

 

Staff picking Oliveira: 0

Staff picking Gamrot: 3

Hank Strandberg
Hank Strandberg
Hank has been a professional writer since 2022. He has covered MMA extensively as well as major eSports tournaments. He is a Hamline University graduate with a Bachelors in Fine Arts in Creative Writing and as a member of Phi Betta Kappa.

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