Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night 40: Matt Brown vs. Erick Silva.
Statistics |
Matt Brown |
Erick Silva |
| Age | 33 | 29 |
| Camp | AMC Pankration | Team Nogueira/X-Gym |
| Record | 18-11 | 16-4 (1 N/C) |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Reach | 76.0″ | 74.0″ |
| Win Percentage | 11 (T)KOs (61%) 5 Submissions (28%) 2 Decisions (11%) | 4 (T)KOs (25%) 9 Submissions (56%) 3 Decisions (19%) |
| Loss Percentage | 9 Submissions (82%) 2 Decisions (18%) | 1 (T)KO (25%) 2 Decisions (50%) 1 DQ (25%) |
| Last (T)KO Victory | Aug. 17th, 2013, over Mike Pyle | Feb. 15th, 2014, over Takanori Sato |
| Last Submission Victory | Nov. 15th, 2008, over Ryan Thomas | June 8th, 2013, over Jason High |
| Last Decision Victory | Apr. 21st, 2012, over Stephen Thompson | Sep. 19th, 2009, over Jorge Luiz Bezerra |
| Last (T)KO Loss | N/A | Oct. 9th, 2013, to Dong Hyun Kim |
| Last Submission Loss | Nov. 19th, 2011, to Seth Baczynski | N/A |
| Last Decision Loss | Sep. 6th, 2008, to Dong Hyun Kim | Oct. 13th, 2012, to Jon Fitch |
| Submission Victories by Method | Armbar 3x (60%) Triangle 1x (20%) Unknown 1x (20%) | RNC 4x (44%) Arm Triangle 2x (22%) Guillotine 1x (11%) Kneebar 1x (11%) Armbar 1x (11%) |
| Submission Losses by method | RNC x3 (33%) Guillotine 3x (33%) Armbar 2x (22%) Arm Triangle 1x (11%) |
N/A |
| Longest winning streak in the UFC | 6 fights | 1 fight |
| Drug overdoses survived | 1 | 0 |
| Decision Victories in the UFC | 2 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.62 | 2.83 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 60% |
| Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute | 2.34 | 3.25 |
| Striking Defense | 58% | 46% |
| Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. | 1.71 | 0.98 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 45% | 66% |
| Takedown Defense Percentage | 66% | 66% |
| Average Submission per 15 Min. | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Average Submission Completion Rate | 17.52% | 36.60% |
| Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight | 48, on Sep. 6th, 2008, against Dong Hyun Kim | 28, on Oct. 9th, 2013, against Dong Hyun Kim |
| Total Fight Time | 3 hrs, 23 min, 53 sec | 2 hrs, 33 min, 41 sec |
As much as the UFC likes to push Erick Silva, he’s really been very inconsistent since stepping up to the big leagues. Dominance in Brazil isn’t always a guarantee of success, especially in a division with the abyss-like depth of welterweight. Matt Brown knows that first hand, having finally put everything together and gone on a tear at 170 lbs. His durability and killer instinct have gotten him 6 wins in a row over increasingly difficult competition, and I don’t see that streak ending here. Despite Brown’s glaringly poor submission defense, Silva’s had problems with grinders before – See: Fitch, Jon – and his knack for rushing in has gotten him caught and KOed. It wouldn’t be a shock to see that happen again. Don’t be surprised to see Matt Brown score another 2nd round KO.
