Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night 27: Carlos Condit vs. Martin Kampman.
Stats for Suckas: Condit vs Kampman II
Carlos Condit
|
Stats
|
Martin Kampman
|
| 29 |
Age |
31 |
| Jackson’s MMA |
Camp |
Xtreme Couture |
| 28-7 |
Record |
20-6 |
| Orthodox |
Stance |
Orthodox |
| 76″ |
Reach |
72″ |
|
|
|
| 13 (T)KO (46%) |
Win Percentage |
8 (T)KO (40%) |
| 13 Submissions (46%) |
|
7 Submissions (35%) |
| 2 Decisions (8%) |
|
4 Decisions (20%) |
|
|
1 Other (5%) |
| 3 Submissions (43%) |
Loss Percentage |
4 (T)KO (67%) |
| 4 Decisions (57%) |
|
2 Decisions (33%) |
| July 2nd, 2011, over |
Last (T)KO Victory |
June 1st, 2012, over |
| Dong Hyun Kim |
|
Jake Ellenberger |
| Feb. 13th, 2008, over |
Last Submission Victory |
Mar. 3rd, 2012, over |
| Carlos Prater |
|
Thiago Alves |
| Feb. 4th, 2012, over |
Last Decision Victory |
Nov. 19th, 2011, over |
| Nick Diaz |
|
Rick Story |
| N/A |
Last (T)KO Loss |
Nov. 17th, 2012, to |
|
|
Johnny Hendricks |
| June 3rd, 2006, to |
Last Submission Loss |
N/A |
| Pat Healy |
|
|
| Mar. 16th, 2013, to |
Last Decision Loss |
Mar. 3rd, 2011, to |
| Johnny Hendricks |
|
Diego Sanchez |
| RNC 5x (38.5%) |
Submission Victories |
Guillotine 3x (42.9%) |
| Armbar 4x (30.8%) |
by Method |
RNC 2x (28.7%) |
| Triangle 2x (15.4%) |
|
Arm Triangle 1x (14.3%) |
| Kimura x1 (7.7%) |
|
Punches 1x (14.3%) |
| Guillotine x1 (7.7%) |
|
|
| RNC x1 (33.3%) |
Submission Losses |
N/A |
| Heel Hook x1 (33.3%) |
by Method |
|
| Triangle x1 (33.3%) |
|
|
| 1 hr, 42 min, 18 sec |
Cage time since |
1 hr, 28 min, 12 sec |
|
first match-up |
|
| 3 |
Final Round Finishes |
1 |
| 2 |
Decision Victories |
4 |
|
in the UFC |
|
| 2.96 |
Significant Strikes |
3.27 |
|
Landed Per Minute |
|
| 40% |
Striking Accuracy |
43% |
| 2.24 |
Significant Strikes |
2.88 |
|
Absorbed Per Minute |
|
| 58% |
Striking Defense |
63% |
| 0.62 |
Average Takedown |
1.39 |
|
Attempts per 15 Min. |
|
| 58% |
Takedown Accuracy |
42% |
| 37% |
Takedown Defense |
78% |
|
Percentage |
|
| 1.32 |
Average Submission |
2.25 |
|
Attempts Per 15 Min. |
|
| 62.40% |
Average Submission |
26.80% |
|
Completion Rate |
|
| 151, vs. Nick Diaz on |
Most Significant Strikes |
101, vs. Thales Leites on |
| Feb. 4th, 2012 |
Landed in a Fight |
Nov. 11th, 2006 |
| 3 hr, 56 min, 47 sec |
Total Fight Time |
2 hr, 54 min, 8 sec |
The last time these two fought, Kampman was able to eke out a split decision victory. However, I don’t see that happening this time. While the statistics show the Dane to actually be an even more aggressive fighter than his New Mexico-based counterpart, I don’t foresee him being able to hold the pace he would need to beat Condit over 5 rounds. This fight still goes to a decision, but I predict “The Natural Born Killer” takes the W home with him this time.
dutchman?