Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC on FOX 11 main event: Fabricio Werdum vs Travis Browne.
Stats for Suckas: Fabricio Werdum vs Travis Browne
Statistics |
Fabricio Werdum |
Travis Browne |
| Age | 36 | 31 |
| Camp | Kings MMA | Jackson’s MMA |
| Record | 17-5-1 | 16-1-1 |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| Reach | 77.0″ | 79.0″ |
| Win Percentage | 5 (T)KOs (29%) 9 Submissions (53%) 3 Decisions (18%) |
12 (T)KOs (75%) 2 Submissions (12.5%) 2 Decisions (12.5%) |
| Loss Percentage | 1 (T)KO (20%) 4 Decisions (80%) |
1 (T)KO (100%) |
| Last (T)KO Victory | June 23rd, 2013, over Mike Russow | Dec. 28th, 2013, over Josh Barnett |
| Last Submission Victory | June 8th, 2013, over A. Rodrigo Nogueira | Apr. 21st, 2012, over Chad Griggs |
| Last Decision Victory | Feb. 12, 2012, over Roy Nelson | Sep. 24th, 2011, over Rob Broughton |
| Last (T)KO Loss | Oct. 25th, 2008, to Junior dos Santos | Oct. 5th, 2012, to Antonio Silva |
| Last Submission Loss | N/A | N/A |
| Last Decision Loss | June 18th, 2010, to Alistair Overeem | N/A |
| Submission Victories by Method | Triangle 4x (45%) Armbar 1x (11%) RNC 1x (11%) Arm Triangle (11%) Guillotine 1x (11%) Kimura 1x (11%) |
Arm Triangle 1x (50%) Armbar 1x (50%) |
| Submission Losses by method | N/A | N/A |
| Most Submission Attempts in a Fight | 6 | 1 |
| Fewest Submission Attempts in a Fight | 0 | 0 |
| Decision Victories in the UFC | 1 | 1 |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.83 | 2.94 |
| Striking Accuracy | 48% | 45% |
| Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute | 1.86 | 3.1 |
| Striking Defense | 58% | 47% |
| Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. | 1.98 | 2.06 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 34% | 78% |
| Takedown Defense Percentage | 36% | 100% |
| Average Submission per 15 Min. | 1.6 | 0.59 |
| Average Submission Completion Rate | 38.80% | 58.01% |
| Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight | 91, on Feb. 4th, 2012, against Roy Nelson | 45, on Sep. 24th, 2011, against Rob Broughton |
| Total Fight Time | 3 hrs, 37 min, 26 sec | 1 hr, 27 min, 32 sec |
This fight is either going to be really exciting or really boring. We all remember what happened the last time Werdum went into the cage with a striker he couldn’t handle. That’s right, his bout with Overeem in Strikeforce was the worst fight of their Heavyweight Grand Prix. Browne’s moderate reach advantage and ability to exploit a holes in opponent’s games – see his own fight with Overeem – and get the finish are going to be more than Werdum can handle. However, if he attempts to take Browne down, especially with his poor takedown accuracy, Werdum is likely to get Hellbowed into oblivion. So, as I predicted earlier, expect to see “Hapa” TKO “Vai Cavalo” in Round 4.
