Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC 165: Jon Jones vs. Alexander Gustafsson.
Stats for Suckas: Jon Jones vs Alexander Gustafsson
Statistics
|
Jon Jones
|
Alex Gustafsson
|
| Age |
26 |
26 |
| Camp |
Jackson’s MMA |
AllStars/Alliance MMA |
| Record |
18-1 |
15-1 |
| Stance |
Orthodox |
Orthodox |
| Reach |
84.5″ |
81.0″ |
| Win Percentage |
9 (T)KO (50%)
6 Submissions (33%)
3 Decisions (17%) |
9 (T)KO (60%)
3 Submissions (20%)
3 Decisions (20%) |
| Loss Percentage |
1 Disqualification (100%) |
1 Submission (100%) |
| Last (T)KO Victory |
Apr. 27th, 2013, over Chael Sonnen |
Dec. 30th, 2012, over Vladimir Matyushenko |
| Last Submission Victory |
Sep. 22, 2012, over Vitor Belfort |
Feb. 27th, 2011, over James Te Huna |
| Last Decision Victory |
Apr. 21st, 2012, over Rashad Evans |
Dec. 08th, 2012, over Mauricio Rua |
| Last (T)KO Loss |
N/A |
N/A |
| Last Submission Loss |
N/A |
Apr. 10th, 2010, to Phil Davis |
| Last Decision Loss |
N/A |
N/A |
| Submission Victories by Method |
Guillotine x4 (66.7%) RNC x1 (16.7%) Keylock x1 (16.7%) |
RNC x3 (100%) |
| Submission Losses by method |
N/A |
Keylock x1 (100%) |
| Oldest Opponent |
Vladimir Matyushenko |
Vladimir Matyushenko |
| Fights in Canada |
2 |
0 |
| Decision Victories in the UFC |
3 |
2 |
| Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute |
3.94 |
3.98 |
| Striking Accuracy |
53% |
36% |
| Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute |
1.44 |
2.29 |
| Striking Defense |
67% |
56% |
| Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. |
2.78 |
2.56 |
| Takedown Accuracy |
62% |
50% |
| Takedown Defense Percentage |
100% |
84% |
| Average Submission Attempts per 15 Min. |
0.86 |
1.28 |
| Average Submission Completion Rate |
60.20% |
35.90% |
| Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight |
105, vs. Rashad Evans, on Apr. 21st, 2012 |
76, vs. Thiago Silva, on Apr. 14th, 2012 |
| Total Cage Time |
2 hrs, 53 min., 55 sec. |
1 hr, 38 Min., 2 sec. |
As much as people like to talk about Alexander Gustafsson’s footwork, the statistics show that he’s still fairly hittable. While he’s yet to be knocked out, it’s still something that gives Jon Jones an advantage, as he has used barrages of strikes to set up submissions in the past. Additionally, Gustafsson, like many Scandinavian fighters, is not what you could call a “strong” wrestler, whereas Jones – in MMA terms – is. I don’t see “The Mauler” getting finished, but I do see Jones grinding him down for a unanimous decision victory.
