Competing in front of his native Mexico for the first time since February 2024, Brandon Moreno seeks to vault himself back into title contention by handing one-time title challenger Steve Erceg his third loss in a row in UFC Mexico. Also, feared first round stoppage savant Manuel Torres will stand with one of the UFC lightweight division’s hardest unranked hitters in company veteran Drew Dober.
UFC Mexico Main Event
Coming off of two razor-thin split decision defeats to Alexandre Pantoja and Brandon Royval, Moreno recently jumped back into the winners circle with a memorable unanimous decision win over the then 17-1 Amir Albazi. Now on the cusp of receiving another title shot, the former-two time 125-lb champion can position himself firmly at the head of the line with a convincing victory at UFC Mexico
Giving Pantoja the hardest fight of his championship run to date, Erceg locked horns with perennial flyweight contender Kai Kara-France at UFC 305 to possibly capture another opportunity at “The Cannibal.”
This didn’t turn out to be the case, however, as the Aussie was quickly starched in the first round by the hard-hitting Ultimate Fighter alum. With a triumph against an all-time great of the division like Moreno tonight in UFC Mexico, “AstroBoy” could also punch his ticket to a rematch with Pantoja.
UFC Mexico Co-Main Event
Counting his appearance on Dana White’s Contender Series in 2021, Torres has logged four first round stoppages, with his only loss in the UFC coming against the equally surging lightweight bruiser Ignacio Bahamondes.
A staple of the 155-lb division for the past 11 years, Dober has played a part in several of the most entertaining slugfests the category has ever seen. Pitted opposite a top-ranked finisher like Torres, the Nebraska native’s 24th walk to the cage can only result in a firefight that will leave fans on the edge of their seats.
More Bouts On the UFC Mexico Main Card
On the rest of the main card at UFC Mexico, Kelvin Gastelum takes on Contender Series standout Joe Pyfer. Promising bantamweight prospect Raúl Rosas Jr. battles Vince Morales. Then, David Martinez goes toe-to-toe with Saimon Oliveira. Finally, Ronaldo Rodríguez opens the card versus Kevin Borjas.
UFC Mexico Betting Predictions and Staff Picks
MMASucka staff picks are composed of four of the world’s leading mixed martial arts organizations: the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), the Professional Fighters League (PFL), ONE Championship (ONE FC), and Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS).
- UFC picks will include main card fights ranging from four to six matchups per event.
- PFL picks from main cards for pay-per-views and from tournament fights in the Regular Season, Playoffs, and Finals.
- ONE FC and DWCS picks will feature all MMA fights from the event with a minimum of three matchups.
The individual who picks the most victorious fighters by the end of 2025 will have a choice between receiving a custom-made championship belt from ProAmBelts or a detailed chain from Championship Chains. Staff picks in 2023 were won by Ben Jamieson with a record of 300-148.
Find our UFC Mexico picks and fight odds below.
Staff records after UFC Fight Night 255:
- Jeremy Brand: 12-45
- Frazer Krohn: 11-36
- Andrew Benjamin: 6-30
- Hank Strandberg: 15-43
- Drew Zuhosky: 9-49
*Note – not all staff pick for every event*
Ronaldo Rodríguez -155
Vs.
Kevin Borjas +130
FLYWEIGHT
Hank Strandberg: Rodríguez by second round Sub
Drew Zuhosky: Borjas by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Borjas by Unanimous Decision
Andrew Benjamin: Borjas by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Rodríguez: 1
Staff picking Borjas: 3
David Martínez -455
Vs.
Saimon Oliveira +350
BANTAMWEIGHT
Hank Strandberg: Martínez by Unanimous Decision
Drew Zuhosky: Martínez by first round Submission
Frazer Krohn: Oliveira by third round Knockout
Andrew Benjamin: Oliveira by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Martínez: 2
Staff picking Oliveira: 2
Raul Rosas Jr. -500
Vs.
Vince Morales +380
BANTAMWEIGHT
Hank Strandberg: Rosas Jr. by Unanimous Decision
Drew Zuhosky: Morales by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Rosas Jr. by Unanimous Decision
Andrew Benjamin: Rosas Jr. by Split Decision
Staff picking Rosas Jr.: 3
Staff picking Morales: 1
Manuel Torres -108
Vs.
Drew Dober -112
LIGHTWEIGHT
Hank Strandberg: Torres by second round Knockout
Drew Zuhosky: Dober by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Dober by second round Knockout
Andrew Benjamin: Dober by second round Knockout
Staff picking Torres: 1
Staff picking Dober: 3
Brandon Moreno -238
Vs.
Steve Erceg +210
FLYWEIGHT
Hank Strandberg: Moreno by Unanimous Decision
Drew Zuhosky: Moreno by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Moreno by Unanimous Decision
Andrew Benjamin: Moreno by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Moreno: 4
Staff picking Erceg:
