UFC Vegas 104 Betting Predictions
Set to throw down in a rematch nearly two years in the making at UFC Fight Night 256, former UFC title challenger Marvin Vettori battles Roman Dolidze in a sure-fire slugfest between middleweight contenders. Also, Chidi Njokuani will try and garner his third straight win at welterweight when he tussles with Brazilian veteran Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos.
Main Event
Making his first appearance in the Octagon in over a year and a half, Vettori is looking to get back into championship contention after being on the sidelines due to a nagging shoulder injury. He also will have a brand new team behind him this time around, switching camps to American Top Team.
To say Dolidze had a productive 2024 would be an understatement. Although he lost a tight majority decision to Nassourdine Imavov in his first promotional main event at UFC on ESPN+ 93, the Georgian ended the year strong with wins over Kevin Holland and Anthony Smith.
Co-Main Event
After a disappointing stint in the 185-lb class, which saw him rack up a divisional record of 2-3, Njokuani dropped down to welterweight for the first since 2016 last year. The decision paid off well, as “Bang Bang” picked up two consecutive wins over Rhys McKee and Jared Gooden.
Quickly approaching his ten year anniversary in the UFC, Zaleski is seeking to enter the top 15 as one of the more current tenured welterweights on the roster. Having only lost once in the past four years, “Capoeira” appears to have hit a career resurgence, proven by victories over younger prospects in Abubakar Nurmagomedov, Zach Scroggin and Benoit Sanit-Denis.
More Bouts On the Main Card
On the rest of the main card, Alexander Hernandez fights The Ultimate Fighter Season 31 winner Kurt Holobaugh, Da’Mon Blackshear faces high-volume competitor Cody Gibson and a debuting Diyar Nurgozhay locks horns with Brendson Ribeiro. Finally, Choi Seung-woo battles previous Samurai Fight House triple champion Kevin Vallejos.
UFC Vegas 104 Betting Predictions and Staff Picks
MMASucka staff picks are composed of four of the world’s leading mixed martial arts organizations: the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC), the Professional Fighters League (PFL), ONE Championship (ONE FC), and Dana White’s Contender Series (DWCS).
- UFC picks will include main card fights ranging from four to six matchups per event.
- PFL picks from main cards for pay-per-views and from tournament fights in the Regular Season, Playoffs, and Finals.
- ONE FC and DWCS picks will feature all MMA fights from the event with a minimum of three matchups.
The individual who picks the most victorious fighters by the end of 2025 will have a choice between receiving a custom-made championship belt from ProAmBelts or a detailed chain from Championship Chains. Staff picks in 2023 were won by Ben Jamieson with a record of 300-148.
Find our UFC Vegas 104 picks and fight odds below.
Staff records after UFC 313:
- Jeremy Brand: 10-35
- Frazer Krohn: 8-27
- Andrew Benjamin: 6-30
- Hank Strandberg: 13-33
- Drew Zuhosky: 8-38
*Note – not all staff pick for every event*
UFC Vegas 104 Betting Predictions Below
Choi Seung-woo -550
Vs.
Kevin Vallejos +410
FEATHERWEIGHT
Jeremy Brand: Vallejos by Unanimous Decision
Hank Strandberg: Vallejos by Unanimous Decision
Drew Zuhosky: Vallejos by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Vallejos by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Seung-woo: 0
Staff picking Vallejos: 4
Diyar Nurgozhay -375
Vs.
Brendson Ribeiro +295
LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT
Jeremy Brand: Nurgozhay by second round Knockout
Hank Strandberg: Nurgozhay by first round Knockout Drew Zuhosky: Ribeiro by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Ribeiro by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Nurgozhay: 2
Staff picking Ribeiro: 2
Da’Mon Blackshear -440
Vs.
Cody Gibson +340
BANTAMWEIGHT
Jeremy Brand: Blackshear by second round Submission
Hank Strandberg: Blackshear by Unanimous Decision
Drew Zuhosky: Blackshear by first round Submission
Frazer Krohn: Blackshear by second round Submission
Staff picking Blackshear: 4
Staff picking Gibson: 0
Alexander Hernandez -218
Vs.
Kurt Holobaugh -180
LIGHTWEIGHT
Jeremy Brand: Hernandez by Unanimous Decision
Hank Strandberg: Hernandez by Unanimous Decision
Drew Zuhosky: Hernandez by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Holobaugh by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Hernandez: 3
Staff picking Holobaugh: 1
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos -205
Vs.
Chidi Njokuani +170
WELTERWEIGHT
Jeremy Brand: Zaleski dos Santos by second round Knockout
Hank Strandberg: Zaleski dos Santos by third round Knockout
Drew Zuhosky: Njokuani by third round Submission
Frazer Krohn: Njokuani by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Zaleski: 2
Staff picking Njokuani: 2
Marvin Vettori -162
Vs.
Roman Dolidze +136
MIDDLEWEIGHT
Jeremy Brand: Vettori by Unanimous Decision
Hank Strandberg: Dolidze by Unanimous Decision
Drew Zuhosky: Vettori by Unanimous Decision
Frazer Krohn: Dolidze by Unanimous Decision
Staff picking Vettori: 2
Staff picking Dolidze: 2
