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Stats For Suckas: Tim Kennedy vs. Michael Bisping

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Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming TUF: Nations Finale: Tim Kennedy vs. Michael Bisping.


Statistics

Tim Kennedy

Michael Bisping

Age 34 35
Camp Jackson’s MMA HB Ultimate
Record 17-4 24-5
Stance Orthodox Orthodox
Reach 73.0″ 75.5″
Win Percentage 6 (T)KO (35%)
8 Submissions (47%)
3 Decisions (18%)
14 (T)KOs (58%)
4 Submissions (17%)
6 Decisions (25%)
Loss Percentage 1 (T)KO (25%)
3 Decisions (75%)
2 (T)KOs (40%)
3 Decisions (60%)
Last (T)KO Victory Nov. 6th, 2013, over Rafael Natal Dec. 3rd, 2011, over Jason Miller
Last Submission Victory Jan. 12th, 2013, over Trevor Smith Nov. 26th, 2005, over Ross Pointon
Last Decision Victory July 6th, 2013, over Roger Gracie Apr. 27th, 2013, over Alan Belcher
Last (T)KO Loss Aug. 31st, 2001, to Scott Smith Jan. 19th, 2013, to Vitor Belfort
Last Submission Loss N/A N/A
Last Decision Loss July 14th, 2012, to Luke Rockhold Jan. 28th, 2012, to Chael Sonnen
Submission Victories by Method Guillotine 2x (25%)
RNC 2x (25%)
Punches 2x (25%)
N/S Choke 1x (12.5%)
Forearm Choke 1x (12.5%)
Armbar 2x (50%)
Choke 1x (25%)
Strikes 1x (25%)
Submission Losses by method N/A N/A
Side Job When Not Fighting Military Sniper DJ
Finishes in the UFC 1 8
Decision Victories in the UFC 1 6
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute 2.86 4.62
Striking Accuracy 50% 41%
Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute 1.42 2.45
Striking Defense 66% 71%
Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. 2.63 1.82
Takedown Accuracy 37% 46%
Takedown Defense Percentage 78% 64%
Average Submission per 15 Min. 0.88 0.56
Average Submission Completion Rate 54.14% 33.00%
Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight 69, on Aug. 21st 2010, against Ronaldo Souza 118, on Oct. 16th, 2010, against Yoshihiro Akiyama
Total Fight Time 3 hrs, 11 min, 51 sec 3 hrs, 3 min, 31 sec

Michael Bisping gets a lot of criticism for being “pillow-fisted,” and while it’s nice to laugh at it, if you take enough shots to the head from a pillow, it can still put you out. Tim Kennedy doesn’t have that same level of volume striking, and while he’s slightly more accurate than his British counterpart, it quite likely won’t be enough to save him. Bisping is hard to take down, with even accomplished MMA wrestlers like Chael Sonnen having a difficult time keeping him down, and Kennedy doesn’t have that kind of wrestling pedigree. With “The Count” holding the reach advantage as well, it will be difficult for Kennedy to put his sniper training to good use and pot-shot from the outside. What this all boils down to – at least going by the stats – is that Bisping will likely take the unanimous decision victory.

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Justin Pierrot is MMASucka.com's resident musicologist and TUF aficionado. When not looking after his family or writing his weekly pieces, he's making music as Stormland or building Gundam models.

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