Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming TUF Brazil 3 Finale: Stipe Miocic vs. Fabio Maldonado.
Statistics |
Stipe Miocic |
Fabio Maldonado |
Age | 31 | 34 |
Camp | Strong Style Fight Team | Team Nogueira |
Record | 11-1 | 21-6 |
Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
Reach | 80.0″ | 75.0″ |
Win Percentage | 7 (T)KOs (64%) 1 Submission (9%) 3 Decisions (27%) |
12 (T)KOs (57%) 3 Submissions (14%) 6 Decisions (29%) |
Loss Percentage | 1 (T)KO (100%) | 1 (T)KO (17%) 2 Submissions (33%) 3 Decisions (50%) |
Last (T)KO Victory | May 26th, 2012, over Shane del Rosario | Oct. 16th, 2010, over James McSweeney |
Last Submission Victory | June 4th, 2011, over Bobby Brents | June 4th, 2010, over Jackson Mora |
Last Decision Victory | Jan. 25th, 2014, over Gabriel Gonzaga | Mar. 23rd, 2014, over Gian Villante |
Last (T)KO Loss | Sep. 29th, 2012, to Stefan Struve | Oct. 13th, 2012, to Glover Teixeira |
Last Submission Loss | N/A | Nov. 10th, 2007, to Alexandre Ferreira |
Last Decision Loss | N/A | May 15th, 2012, to Igor Pokrajac |
Submission Victories by Method | Leg Kicks 1x (100%) | Guillotine 1x (33%) Punches 1x (33%) Unknown 1x (33%) |
Submission Losses by method | N/A | Kneebar 2x (100%) |
Most Significant Strikes Absorbed in a Fight | 57 | 95 |
Fewest Significant Strikes in a Victory | 8 | 87 |
Decision Victories in the UFC | 3 | 3 |
Significant Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.18 | 6.2 |
Striking Accuracy | 46% | 60% |
Significant Strikes Absorbed Per Minute | 3.19 | 4.01 |
Striking Defense | 64% | 54% |
Average Takedown Attempts per 15 Min. | 2.15 | 0.47 |
Takedown Accuracy | 42% | 50% |
Takedown Defense Percentage | 77% | 66% |
Average Submission per 15 Min. | 0 | 0.8 |
Average Submission Completion Rate | 0.00% | 14.60% |
Most Significant Strikes Landed in a Fight | 106, on June 15th, 2013, against Roy Nelson | 132, on Mar. 23rd, 2014, against Gian Villante |
Total Fight Time | 1 hr, 36 min, 17 sec | 4 hrs, 16 min, 56 sec |
Look, there’s no other way I can put it: This fight shouldn’t be happening. Maldonado is beyond over-matched, but agreed to step up and save the main event for this card after Junior dos Santos dropped out due to injury. Stipe Miocic has 5 inches of reach on him, decent footwork, and a knack for making people suffer. I expect the doctors to stop this at the end of the 3rd round, giving Miocic the victory.