Betting Tips

Make Some Green on This UFC St. Louis Bet

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UFC St. Louis is just a couple sleeps away and the excitement is mounting for the heavy hitting card in the Show-Me State. MMASucka wants to give you, the fans, the best bets and predictions for MMA‘s week-to-week action and this weekend is no different. With thirteen fights slated for Saturday night’s action, let’s dive into this no-brainer bet for UFC St. Louis.

UFC St. Louis No-Brainer Bet You Need to Consider

The featured lightweight fight of the night showcases Diego Ferriera (18-5, 9-5 UFC) taking on the highly electric Mateusz Rebecki (19-1, 3-0 UFC). This fight will not be a cakewalk for either competitor, as Ferriera has veteran Octagon experience and has distinguished himself as a threat on the feet and on the mat and is defensively sound. Rebecki is a seemingly unstoppable force, having only lost one time nearly ten years ago. However, there is a clear pick here and the odds are going to heavily shift come fight day, so its time to place your bets.

The Winner

Mateusz Rebecki will win this fight. Ferriera, although a tough opponent, will crumble underneath the pressure of Rebecki’s forward moving offense. The 31-year-old Berserker Team fighter will put the pressure on Ferriera and land hard shots and score takedowns. Poland’s Rebecki will ultimately determine where he wants to finish this fight. Having scored sixteen of his nineteen professional victories by finish (nine by KO/TKO and seven by submission), “Rebeasti” will get his hand raised on Saturday night.

The Bet

The moneyline for Rebecki is sitting on many sportsbooks right now at -395, pitting him as a massive favorite in Saturday’s featured 155-lbs. contest. Unfortunately, there is not much value in this bet. However, there is value in one over/under round bet. The -2.5 round pick, meaning the fight will end before the 2:30 mark of the third round, currently sits on many sportsbooks at about -160. There is immense value in this bet, considering Rebecki is riding a two-fight finish streak and has a 84% finish rate. Will you tail this bet? What’s your sure fire pick for Saturday night? Let us know below.

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Brian Knight is a contributing writer and active editor for MMASucka since November 2020. He is currently authoring his first book.