Analysis

Lux 045 Main Event Breakdown

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Your tripleheader of MMA action on Friday stretches into the late night hours for the second time in three weeks. After the dust settles in CFFC 134 and the PFL 8 main event, respectively, don’t head upstairs and go to bed when the clock strikes 11 pm ET because you’ll still have a little bit more competitive violence to watch before finally hitting the hay.

The nightcap of a packed evening of fights comes courtesy of Lux Fight League. Late night Friday, the promotion returns to action for the second time this month with Lux 045. As is customary, live coverage of this card will be available in both English and Spanish on UFC Fight Pass beginning at 11 pm ET/ 8 pm PT.

Monterrey, Mexico’s Showcenter Complex is the host venue for a 10-fight card. Highlighting the night’s activities is a battle for the Lux Flyweight Championship.

Flyweight Supremacy on the Line in Lux 45 Main Event Friday

Incumbent Lux Flyweight Champion Jorge Calvo Martin (17-6 MMA, 7-1 Lux) takes on challenger Alexandro Bravo (5-0 MMA, 5-0 Lux) in the headliner. As with all MMA championship fights throughout most promotions in the world, the Lux 045 main event is an advertised maximum of five rounds at five minutes per round to close the show.

Lux 045 Main Event Fighter Comparison and Betting Odds

Heading into the Lux 045 main event on Friday night, Jorge Calvo Martin stands as the taller man at 5-foot-7, compared to the 5-foot-5 frame of Alexandro Bravo. Calvo Martin owns a 66-inch reach, with no such information accessible for Bravo.

Currently, the oddsmakers have Jorge Calvo Martin installed as a -179 favorite on the money line, while Alexandro Bravo counters as a +130 underdog. If you plan on betting on this or any other fight happening in MMA and/or combat sports this weekend, please wager responsibly.

Calvo Martin Looks to Defend Belt Again Friday Night in Lux 045 Main Event

Jorge Calvo Martin has posted a 5-0 record in his last five fights. Currently, he’s on a five-fight winning streak. Last time out, he scored a unanimous decision victory over Kike Gonzalez (11-4 MMA, 3-2 Lux) on March 15 during Lux 041 on UFC Fight Pass to successfully defend the title.

Calvo Martin and Gonzalez were initially scheduled to have fought last August for the belt but that date wound up not being met and the fight was rescheduled for the third weekend of March. Jorge Calvo Martin is no stranger to the UFC Fight Pass audience.

In the past, he’s made appearances in Titan FC, going 1-4, with the only victory coming by way of decision to Bruno Korea in May of 2017. Since joining Lux in 2019, he’s gotten into a groove, winning seven of his eight appearances and currently holding the 125-lb. strap. Another defense of the title would only solidify his status as one of the best flyweights on the international scene.

“Jaguar” In Search of Resume-Building Victory in Lux 045 Main Event

In the other corner, Alexandro Bravo, nicknamed “Jaguar” has gone undefeated thus far in his professional MMA career. Last time out, he scored a second-round submission by way of rear-naked choke against David Perez (5-4, 1 NC MMA, 0-3 Lux) on Dec. 1 in Lux 038.

This was the second in Perez’s current three-fight losing streak. He then lost another fight by rear-naked choke, this time in February versus Maurico Partida (8-0 MMA, 8-0 Lux) during Lux 040. Getting back to Alexandro Bravo, here is a man who’s fought and won five consecutive times under the Lux promotional banner.

The one nicknamed “Jaguar” has more than earned this title shot against Jorge Calvo Martin on Friday night. When a fighter goes on a winning streak early in his or her professional MMA career, people are going to start to talk. Should he win the belt this weekend, Bravo’s resume will start to look more impressive.

Analysis, Film Study, and Prediction

With both of these fighters on winning streaks and a championship at stake in the Lux 045 main event on Friday night, this should be a good 25 minutes (or less) of action.

Calvo Martin is a Submission Specialist

Statistically speaking, Jorge Calvo Martin has won 10 fights by way of submission in his career. Once a fight of his gets on the canvas, like he did against Gerardo Graniel in 2020 during Lux 011, it’s fantastic to watch.

During the second round of the contest, Calvo Martin and Graniel were in the clinch until the former dropped him. Even though Graniel took side control and later top mount, he returned to his feet, only for Calvo Martin to drop him again and land ground and pound shots to soften Graniel up.

From there, he took Graniel’s back and applied the torque to lock in a rear-naked choke, forcing him to tap out with less than a minute remaining on the clock. Look for Jorge Calvo Martin to find an opening to drop Alexandro Bravo in the Lux 045 main event. All it takes is a sliver of daylight to defend the title.

“Jaguar” Also Adept on the Mat

In the other corner, Alexandro Bravo subscribes to The Gospel According to Lee Corso: “Not so fast, my friend.” He’s got a decent ground game in his own right. One need look no further than his fight from December of last year against David Perez.

Round two of the fight saw Bravo complete a double-leg takedown and assume side control, seizing the momentum of the match with his grappling prowess. Perez tried to rise to his feet, but Bravo’s defense was too tough, scoring with ground and pound shots before closing up the shop with a tight rear-naked choke.

Alexandro Bravo’s key to victory is a simple one: Beat Jorge Calvo Martin to the takedown.

Final Thoughts

Get that coffee brewing if you’re on the East Coast late Friday night before watching the Lux 044 main event. This is going to be a fun scrap to watch.

Prediction: Alexandro Bravo by Second-Round Submission. 

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Drew Zuhosky has been writing about combat sports since May of 2018, coming to MMASucka after stints at Overtime Heroics and Armchair All-Americans. A graduate of Youngstown State University in Youngstown, OH, Drew is a charter member of the Youngstown Press Club. Prior to beginning his professional career, Drew was a sportswriter for YSU's student-run newspaper, The Jambar, where he supplied Press Box Perspective columns every week.