Analysis

ONE on Prime Video 16 Main Event Breakdown

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After a light weekend of action in advance of the Halloween holiday last week, the month of November in combat sports kicks off with a full slate this weekend. It starts with ONE on Prime Video 16.

Bantamweight Kickboxing Championship at Stake in ONE on Prime Video 16 Main Event

All told, barring any cancellations between now and Friday, the final version of ONE on Prime Video 16 is currently forecast to feature 10 bouts across four combative disciplines. Kickboxing gets the main event spotlight this week.

The ONE Bantamweight Kickboxing Championship will be at risk during the ONE on Prime Video 16 main event between two competitors seeking to become two-sport titleholders. Incumbent ONE Bantamweight Muay-Thai Champion Jonathan Haggerty (21-4 kickboxing, 6-2 ONE Champion) will square off against current  bantamweight MMA champion Fabricio Andrade (20-3 kickboxing, ONE Championship kickboxing debut.)

As with all kickboxing championship bouts, the ONE on Prime Video 16 main event is an advertised maximum of five rounds at three minutes per round to close the show.

Initially, this fight had been scheduled to take place on October 6th, but it was rescheduled to November 3rd in mid-September.

ONE on Prime Video 16 Main Event Fighter Comparison

Heading into the ONE on Prime Video 16 main event on Friday night, Fabricio Andrade stands as the taller fighter at 5-foot-8, compared to Jonathan Haggerty’s 5-foot-7 frame. Haggerty owns a 1.4-inch reach advantage (72.4 inches to 71 inches even) over Andrade.

Haggerty Looking to Fill Up Dance Card After ONE on Prime Video 16 Main Event

Jonathan Haggerty has posted a record of 4-1 over his last five bouts. At the present time, he’s on a four-fight winning streak. Last time out, he scored a first-round knockout (punches) of Nong-O Gaiyanghadao (265-55-10 kickboxing, 10-1 ONE Championship) back in April.

Before the fight with Andrade was rebooked to November, he was interviewed by ONE Championship. Haggerty wants high-caliber dance partners if he wins the ONE on Prime Video 16 main event.

“I don’t blame them,” Haggerty began. “Nong-O destroyed them all, and now I’ve got the belt, they think they’ve got more of an opportunity to get it. I feel like I’m the cash cow now. I’ve got the belt, and they think I’m an easy opponent. But let me tell you, it’s a different thing when we’re in there and you’re getting hit by me. So, they can all keep thinking it’s easy. Their time will come.”

Fabricio Andrade Making ONE Kickboxing Debut

In the other corner, Fabricio Andrade enters the headlining bout having gone 4-0 with one no-contest in his last five fights, all of which took place in MMA. He’s on a nine-fight unbeaten streak in MMA dating back to April Fools’ Day of 2018, and that’s no joke.

To find the last time that he lost in a fight across all disciplines, you’d have to travel back to January of 2018. Counting all competitions, he’s gone 11-1 with one no-contest in his last 13 fights. Most recently, Andrade scored a fourth-round TKO of John Lineker (37-10, 1 NC MMA, 6-1, 1 NC ONE Championship) on Feb. 25. 

That night, Lineker’s corner rescued him from further damage after 20 minutes of action.

Friday’s contest is Andrade’s first foray into kickboxing under the ONE Championship banner. He has not fought in a kickboxing contest in over four and a half years. While he is remained active in MMA, there could be potential ‘ring rust’ when entering a kickboxing formatted fight.

Analysis, Film Study, and Prediction

Stylistically, the ONE on Prime Video 16 main event is a textbook example of a toss-up. Both men are kickboxers and Muay-Thai fighters by trade, so expect some fireworks in Bangkok.

Haggerty’s Got Vicious Punches

One aspect of Jonathan Haggerty’s fight game that shows up on film is his ability to land the nasty punch to secure the victory. You don’t have to go back very far to find an example of it, either.

During the first round of his fight against Nong-O, Haggerty absorbed several kicks to the body, while countering with leg kicks. With about a minute left to go in the period, Haggerty landed a punch to the body to knock Nong-O down.

Upon Nong-O beating the count, Haggerty smelled blood in the water, scoring a second knockdown before landing another punch to net himself the victory due to the three-knockdown rule.

Watch For Andrade’s Head Kicks

In the other corner, Fabricio Andrade is just as brutal with kicks to his opponents’ heads, like he was against Kwon Won Il in June of last year. During the first round of a scheduled three, Andrade quickly became the aggressor, targeting Kwon’s face.

With just a minute having elapsed from the clock, Andrade connected on a kick to Kwon’s liver, knocking him down and out almost immediately.

Final Thoughts

It looks like we’ll have a good fight for the ONE on Prime Video 16 main event this weekend. Only time will tell if the contest lives up to the advanced billing, however.

Prediction: Jonathan Haggerty by Unanimous Decision. 

Live coverage of the card begins Friday night at 8 pm ET/ 5 pm PT on Amazon Prime Video. Like always, ONE on Prime Video 16 is available to subscribers of Amazon’s streaming video service inside the United States and Canada only. International viewers can access the show on pay-per-view through ONE Championship’s official Website under the alternate title ONE Fight Night 16.

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Drew Zuhosky has been writing about combat sports since May of 2018, coming to MMASucka after stints at Overtime Heroics and Armchair All-Americans. A graduate of Youngstown State University in Youngstown, OH, Drew is a charter member of the Youngstown Press Club. Prior to beginning his professional career, Drew was a sportswriter for YSU's student-run newspaper, The Jambar, where he supplied Press Box Perspective columns every week.

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