UFC 328 Odds: Latest Lines for Main Card and Top Prelims
Latest market consensus moneylines for UFC 328 across the US, Canadian and UK markets ahead of the Saturday card at Prudential Center in Newark. Numbers reflect the prevailing pre-event lines on May 9, 2026 and may shift right up to walkout.
The information that follows are the average odds for U.S., Canada and U.K. markets leading into the last hour prior to the start of UFC 328. Moneylines are in American format. All implied probabilities were derived from the moneyline excluding over-round margin (sportsbook edge) therefore they will not add to 100% when summed together.
Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland (Middleweight title)
| Fighter | Moneyline (American) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Khamzat Chimaev (favorite) | -520 | 83.9% |
| Sean Strickland (underdog) | +390 | 20.4% |
Notes: Chimaev opened approximately -550 and was reduced to about -520 by the end of fight week. This is the largest price advantage for this card.
Joshua Van vs Tatsuro Taira (Flyweight title)
| Fighter | Moneyline (American) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Tatsuro Taira (favorite) | -155 | 60.8% |
| Joshua Van (champion) (underdog) | +130 | 43.5% |
Notes: Joshua Van (Champion) entered as an underdog in all markets. The line drifted slightly in favor of Van through out the week (Van went from +145 down to +130; Taira went from -175 to -155).
Alexander Volkov vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight)
| Fighter | Moneyline (American) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Alexander Volkov (favorite) | -145 | 59.2% |
| Waldo Cortes-Acosta (underdog) | +120 | 45.5% |
Notes: A relatively tight line with an opening larger than current numbers (Volkov -180) with a large amount of action placed on Cortes-Acosta’s ability to knock Volkov out.
Sean Brady vs Joaquin Buckley (Welterweight)
| Fighter | Moneyline (American) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Sean Brady (favorite) | -175 | 63.6% |
| Joaquin Buckley (underdog) | +145 | 40.8% |
Notes: Brady was priced heavily against Buckley across all boards (-170 and -180 for Brady and +140 and +150 for Buckley).
Bobby “King” Green vs Jeremy Stephens (Lightweight)
| Fighter | Moneyline (American) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Green (favorite) | -380 | 79.2% |
| Jeremy Stephens (underdog) | +290 | 25.6% |
Notes: Green has been heavily favored. Prices have ranged from -375 to -385 for Green and +275 to +300 for Stephens. Stephens had a lengthy layoff from fighting.
Yaroslav Amosov vs Joel Alvarez (Welterweight, top prelim)
| Fighter | Moneyline (American) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Yaroslav Amosov (favorite) | -190 | 65.5% |
| Joel Alvarez (underdog) | +160 | 38.5% |
Notes: Amosov has been clearly the favorite. The former Bellator champion moves up in weight class to meet a hot lightweight Spaniard coming off of a strong performance.
Grant Dawson vs Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, top prelim)
| Fighter | Moneyline (American) | Implied probability |
|---|---|---|
| Grant Dawson (favorite) | -165 | 62.3% |
| Mateusz Rebecki (underdog) | +140 | 41.7% |
Notes: A grappling-heavy contender vs a powerful Polish striker; line has stayed mostly stable.
Final Note
These lines are comprised of a survey of "public" consensus prices collected from publicly available pricing sources such as CBS Sports, Yahoo Sports, MMA Mania, MMA News, Sherdog, Action Network, Covers and Sports Betting Dime through the close of business on May 9, 2026. These lines reflect the collective thinking of each source and may or may not match your actual odds at a given sportsbook at the time you read this.
