Stats for Suckas: Condit vs Kampman II

By Justin Pierrot

13 years ago2 min read
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Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends […]

Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night 27: Carlos Condit vs. Martin Kampman.

Carlos Condit

Stats

Martin Kampman
29 Age 31
Jackson’s MMA Camp Xtreme Couture
28-7 Record 20-6
Orthodox Stance Orthodox
76″ Reach 72″
13 (T)KO (46%) Win Percentage 8 (T)KO (40%)
13 Submissions (46%) 7 Submissions (35%)
2 Decisions (8%) 4 Decisions (20%)
1 Other (5%)
3 Submissions (43%) Loss Percentage 4 (T)KO (67%)
4 Decisions (57%) 2 Decisions (33%)
July 2nd, 2011, over Last (T)KO Victory June 1st, 2012, over
Dong Hyun Kim Jake Ellenberger
Feb. 13th, 2008, over Last Submission Victory Mar. 3rd, 2012, over
Carlos Prater Thiago Alves
Feb. 4th, 2012, over Last Decision Victory Nov. 19th, 2011, over
Nick Diaz Rick Story
N/A Last (T)KO Loss Nov. 17th, 2012, to
Johnny Hendricks
June 3rd, 2006, to Last Submission Loss N/A
Pat Healy
Mar. 16th, 2013, to Last Decision Loss Mar. 3rd, 2011, to
Johnny Hendricks Diego Sanchez
RNC 5x (38.5%) Submission Victories Guillotine 3x (42.9%)
Armbar 4x (30.8%) by Method RNC 2x (28.7%)
Triangle 2x (15.4%) Arm Triangle 1x (14.3%)
Kimura x1 (7.7%) Punches 1x (14.3%)
Guillotine x1 (7.7%)
RNC x1 (33.3%) Submission Losses N/A
Heel Hook x1 (33.3%) by Method
Triangle x1 (33.3%)
1 hr, 42 min, 18 sec Cage time since 1 hr, 28 min, 12 sec
first match-up
3 Final Round Finishes 1
2 Decision Victories 4
in the UFC
2.96 Significant Strikes 3.27
Landed Per Minute
40% Striking Accuracy 43%
2.24 Significant Strikes 2.88
Absorbed Per Minute
58% Striking Defense 63%
0.62 Average Takedown 1.39
Attempts per 15 Min.
58% Takedown Accuracy 42%
37% Takedown Defense 78%
Percentage
1.32 Average Submission 2.25
Attempts Per 15 Min.
62.40% Average Submission 26.80%
Completion Rate
151, vs. Nick Diaz on Most Significant Strikes 101, vs. Thales Leites on
Feb. 4th, 2012 Landed in a Fight Nov. 11th, 2006
3 hr, 56 min, 47 sec Total Fight Time 2 hr, 54 min, 8 sec

The last time these two fought, Kampman was able to eke out a split decision victory. However, I don’t see that happening this time. While the statistics show the Dane to actually be an even more aggressive fighter than his New Mexico-based counterpart, I don’t foresee him being able to hold the pace he would need to beat Condit over 5 rounds. This fight still goes to a decision, but I predict “The Natural Born Killer” takes the W home with him this time.

ABOUT THE AUTHORJustin PierrotStaff Writer

Justin Pierrot is a combat sports journalist and Staff Writer at MMA Sucka.

UFC Fight Night 27

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