Stats for Suckas: Sonnen vs Rua

By Justin Pierrot

13 years ago2 min read
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Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential […]

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Let’s be honest: Every now and then it’s fun to get down into the nitty-gritty statistics and see if we can’t perform some MMAth. It helps us analyze future fights and make predictions based on previous history. Fans of all sports do it, so why can’t we? It can help us look for potential trends in a fighter as well. So, with thanks to Sherdog and FightMetric.com for the raw data, let’s examine the main event of the upcoming UFC Fight Night 26: Chael Sonnen vs. Mauricio “Shogun” Rua.


Chael Sonnen

Stats


Mauricio Rua
36 Age 31
Team Quest/Reign TC Camp Universidade da Luta
27-13-1 Record 21-7
Southpaw Stance Orthodox
74.0″ Reach 76.0″
7 (T)KO (26%) Win Percentage 18 (T)KO 86%
4 Submissions (15%) 1 Submission (4%)
16 Decisions (59%) 2 Decisions (10%)
4 (T)KO (31%) Loss Percentage 2 (T)KO (28.5%)
8 Submissions (62%) 2 Submissions (28.5%)
1 Decision (8%) 3 Decisions (43%)
Oct. 27th, 2006, over Last (T)KO Victory Aug. 4th, 2012, over
Kyacey Uscola Brandon Vera
Oct. 8th, 2011, over Last Submission Victory Oct. 21st, 2006, over
Brian Stann Kevin Randleman
Jan. 28th, 2012, over Last Decision Victory Dec. 31st, 2006, over
Michael Bisping Kazuhiro Nakamura
Apr. 27th, 2013, to Last (T)KO Loss Mar. 19th, 2011, to
Jon Jones Jon Jones
Aug. 7th, 2010, to Last Submission Loss Sep. 22nd, 2007, to
Anderson Silva Forest Griffin
July 5th, 2004, to Last Decision Loss Dec. 8th, 2012, to
Keiichiro Yamamiya Alexander Gustafsson
Forearm Choke x1 (25%) Submission Victories Kneebar x1 (100%)
Arm-Triangle x1 (25%) by Method
Punches x1 (25%)
Brabo Choke x1 (25%)
Triangle x4 (50%) Submission Losses RNC x1 (50%)
Armbar x3 (37.5%) by Method Guillotine x1 (50%)
Guillotine x1 (12.5%)
7 Most TDs in a fight 8
4 Most times taken down 7
in a fight
5 Decision Victories 0
in the UFC
3.19 Significant Strikes 3.62
Landed Per Minute
44% Striking Accuracy 51%
1.05 Significant Strikes 2.34
Absorbed Per Minute
65% Striking Defense 54%
3.83 Average Takedown 2.38
Attempts per 15 Min.
60% Takedown Accuracy 49%
67% Takedown Defense 44%
Percentage
0.26 Average Submission 1.07
Attempts Per 15 Min.
60.06% Average Submission 5.40%
Completion Rate
91, vs. Yushin Okami on Most Significant Strikes 96, vs. Dan Henderson
Oct. 24th, 2009 Landed in a Fight on Nov. 19th, 2011
6 hrs, 24 min, 14 sec Total Fight Time 4 hrs, 19 min, 47 sec

Now, let’s look at this objectively. Not only has Mauricio Rua struggled with wrestlers in the past, he’s also never won a decision in the UFC. His opponent, Chael Sonnen, has seldom struggled in taking opponents down, and has 5 decision victories in the UFC. Sonnen also has a better idea of when to attempt a submission than Rua, and has the top control ability necessary to completely shut down “Shogun’s” much-vaunted half-guard game. “The Gangster from West Linn” takes this by unanimous decision, and don’t be shocked if there’s a 10-8 round in there somewhere.

ABOUT THE AUTHORJustin PierrotStaff Writer

Justin Pierrot is a combat sports journalist and Staff Writer at MMA Sucka.

UFC Fight Night 26

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